The No. 5 Texas Longhorns will face off against the Florida Gators this Saturday, in a crucial game that will have major implications on the Longhorns’ hopes for the College Football Playoff. Texas enters the contest fresh off their second bye week of the season, and with four games left on their schedule, they are in control of their SEC Championship game destiny. The Gators, on the other hand, come into Austin after a tough 34-20 loss to the Georgia Bulldogs, and their season has been derailed by injuries to key players, including both of their starting quarterbacks.
Here are five key matchups to watch as Texas looks to continue their push toward a playoff berth and Florida fights to remain relevant in the postseason race.
Texas Pass Defense vs. Florida Quarterback Situation**
One of the most intriguing storylines going into this game is the Florida quarterback situation. Starting quarterback DJ Lagway suffered a significant hamstring injury against Georgia and is listed as questionable for the game against Texas. If Lagway can’t play, Florida will be forced to rely on third-string quarterback Aidan Warner, a Yale transfer who hasn’t seen significant action this season.
Texas boasts the best passing defense in the country, ranking first in both passing yards allowed (135.8 yards per game) and team passing efficiency defense (90.77). Whether it’s Lagway or Warner under center, the Longhorns’ defense is likely to apply pressure, especially given Florida’s injury woes. If Lagway plays, his mobility will be key—if he’s not able to move well, Texas can focus on a traditional pass rush without worrying about a scrambling quarterback. If Warner takes the snaps, the Longhorns will have an easier time pressuring him into mistakes.
Texas Defensive Line vs. Florida Offensive Line**
Texas’ defensive front has been dominant all season, led by standout pass rusher Colin Simmons. With Florida’s offensive line struggling to protect its quarterbacks, the Longhorns should have opportunities to disrupt the pocket. If Lagway is forced to play injured, he’ll need extra time to make plays, and the Florida offensive line will have its hands full. The Gators’ protection issues could also play into Texas’ ability to force turnovers, something they’ve excelled at in 2024. The key battle here will be Texas’ defensive line getting consistent pressure, forcing Florida into long third-down situations.
Florida’s Running Game vs. Texas Front Seven**
Despite the injuries at quarterback, Florida still boasts a solid running game, led by running back Trevor Etienne. The Gators will likely try to lean on the ground attack to keep the Texas defense honest. Texas’ defense is very stout against the run, ranked 19th in the nation in rushing yards allowed, but Florida’s commitment to running the ball could provide some balance. If Etienne is able to find gaps and move the ball efficiently, it could open up play-action opportunities, helping Florida’s quarterbacks make easier throws. However, the Longhorns’ front seven, featuring linebackers like Jaylan Ford, will look to stuff the run and make the Gators one-dimensional.
Texas Special Teams vs. Florida Coverage Units**
Texas has been solid on special teams this season, with standout performances in both the return and coverage game. Florida, on the other hand, has struggled in this area, with a number of missed tackles and breakdowns in coverage. With the Gators facing a depleted roster, Texas’ special teams could provide the Longhorns with crucial field-position advantages, especially in a game where every possession will be important. A key punt return or long kickoff return could swing momentum in Texas’ favor.
Coaching Adjustments: Sarkisian vs. Napier**
Finally, the battle between Texas head coach Steve Sarkisian and Florida’s Billy Napier will play a role in shaping the game. Sarkisian has been effective at making in-game adjustments and keeping the Longhorns on track despite injuries, while Napier finds himself on the hot seat, needing to win at least two of the final four games to become bowl-eligible. The pressure is mounting for Napier, and his ability to get his team prepared, especially given the quarterback situation, will be a storyline to watch. Sarkisian, known for his creative offensive play calling, will likely exploit Florida’s defensive weaknesses, particularly in the passing game.
As Texas hosts Florida, the Longhorns will be looking to keep their playoff hopes alive, while the Gators face an uphill battle just to make a bowl game. With the uncertainty at quarterback for Florida, combined with the formidable Texas defense, this matchup is shaping up to be a tough test for the Gators. Texas has the advantage on paper, but Florida’s resilience and ground game could make this contest closer than expected.
