As college football transitions into a new era with the introduction of a 12-team College Football Playoff (CFP) format, teams will need to adjust to a new landscape that could elevate a number of programs into the playoff spotlight. With the expanded format, more underdogs will have opportunities to make deep runs, and while teams like Alabama, Georgia, and Michigan remain favorites, there are several programs that could surprise. Here are five potential underdog teams that should send a shiver down the spines of playoff favorites.
1. Alabama
While Alabama has been a perennial powerhouse in college football, their inclusion as an underdog in this context stems from their potential struggles this season. Despite the program’s history, they’ve faced some bumps along the way, especially with quarterback play and consistency. However, under Nick Saban’s leadership, Alabama is a team that’s built for the playoff format, especially in a 12-team field. The Crimson Tide have the talent, depth, and experience to make a deep run, and their ability to adapt in high-pressure situations is unmatched. When you add in the potential for an explosive offense and a stifling defense, Alabama could still be a team that nobody wants to face in the postseason.
2. Oregon
Oregon has quietly built one of the most complete teams in college football under Dan Lanning. The Ducks have a dynamic offense led by quarterback Bo Nix, who’s matured significantly after transferring from Auburn. Their defense is also one of the most underrated units in the country, capable of shutting down high-powered offenses. Oregon has the kind of balanced attack that could make them a nightmare for a top-tier team in a playoff setting. The Ducks also have a history of upsetting higher-ranked teams, and with a 12-team bracket, they could easily rise to the occasion and prove that they belong.
3. Penn State
While Penn State is often overshadowed by Ohio State and Michigan in the Big Ten, the Nittany Lions should not be underestimated. Head coach James Franklin has built a competitive program that has consistently been on the cusp of greatness. This year, Penn State has a dynamic running game, a strong offensive line, and a defense that can dominate in the trenches. With a solid quarterback in Drew Allar, who has the ability to make big plays under pressure, Penn State is a team that could make a deep run in the CFP. Their defensive front is particularly dangerous, and against higher-ranked offenses, it could be the deciding factor in an upset.
4. Ole Miss
Under Lane Kiffin, Ole Miss has transformed into one of the most dangerous offenses in the country. Their high-octane attack is led by quarterback Jaxson Dart, who’s capable of putting up big numbers against anyone. The Rebels have shown they can compete with the SEC’s top teams, and in a playoff scenario, they would be a difficult matchup for even the most seasoned teams. Their ability to score quickly and in bunches means they can jump on teams early and hold off their opponents. If they get hot, Ole Miss could surprise in the playoff and make a run to the semifinals or beyond.
5. Liberty
Liberty, while not a traditional powerhouse, has had a meteoric rise in recent years under coach Hugh Freeze. They’ve been a competitive force in the Group of Five and have shown that they can compete with Power Five teams. With a dynamic offense and an underrated defense, Liberty could be the ultimate dark horse in the 12-team playoff. Their scrappy style of play and the ability to pull off upsets could make them a team that nobody wants to face in a one-and-done scenario. If they get in, Liberty has the potential to make a significant splash, taking down more established programs along the way.
As the CFP expands, these underdogs could make a serious impact, challenging traditional powerhouses and making the race to the championship even more unpredictable. Teams like Alabama should certainly take notice of these potential spoilers, as the new format opens the door for any program with the right combination of talent, strategy, and timing.